USD/JPY – 8H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 06:00 UTC 14 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.30 %

Entry

158.392

Target

158.949 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.075 −1.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 316 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 94 % (43.41) ▼ Bearish 6 % (2.76)

model score 94.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.84
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.76
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.70
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.63
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.54
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.47
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.39
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.32
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.14
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.51

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signal cluster on 8H with multiple moving average retreat-ups and a BOP zero cross up.
Mixed trend across timeframes; daily bullish but 1H and 8H bearish, so confirmation needed.
Watch for a break above 158.949 to confirm upside, or a drop below 156.075 to invalidate.
Signal strength is very strong, but choppy conditions warrant patience.

The 8H USD/JPY chart has triggered a cluster of bullish indicators, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and a STOCHF KD Cross Up, alongside a broad retreat-up signal across multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and a trendline. This confluence suggests that buying pressure is building after a period of consolidation, with the upper Bollinger Band retreat signaling a pullback within an upward move. The overall trend, however, is mixed across timeframes: the 30M and 4H are bullish, while the 1H, 8H, and 12H remain bearish, but the daily is bullish. This mixed picture implies the signal may be early, and confirmation on lower timeframes is key.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.949 and support at 156.075. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a break below support would invalidate the signal. Given the very strong signal strength and high probability, the bias is bullish, but traders should wait for a clear breakout or a higher low on the 8H to avoid false signals in a choppy market.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (BOP, STOCHF, moving averages) on the 8H timeframe.
▲ Daily timeframe is bullish, providing longer-term support for the move.
▲ Nearest resistance is close, and a breakout could trigger further momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe (1H, 8H, 12H) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the signal.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes suggest low trend strength (1/5), increasing false signal risk.
▼ If price fails to hold above support at 156.075, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Momentum indicators may fade if the pullback from the upper Bollinger Band extends.