AUD/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-11-04 21:00 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

0.97900

Target

0.98299 +0.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.97121 −0.80 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 6 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 76 % (21.88) ▼ Bearish 24 % (6.87)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 1 day
15:00TomorrowCADIvey PMI n.s.a.●●○Previous 61.9in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.14
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.07
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.19
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.89
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.79
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.73
▲	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum cluster on 1H, but higher timeframes are bearish—likely a corrective bounce.
Key resistance at 0.98299 caps upside; a break above could signal a reversal.
Support at 0.97121 is the invalidation level; a close below it negates the bullish signal.
Choppy price action on lower timeframes suggests the move may lack strong follow-through.

The AUD/CAD 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR all crossing above zero, combined with STOCHRSI KD cross up and DEMA/EMA retreats, point to a fresh push higher in the short term. However, the higher timeframes (2H through 12H) are bearish, with the 4H and 8H showing solid downtrends. This creates a clear conflict: the 1H bullish momentum is likely a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend, so the upside may be limited.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.98299 and support at 0.97121. A break above resistance would signal a potential trend reversal on the higher timeframes, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish setup. The 15M and 30M are also bullish but choppy, suggesting the move may lack sustained follow-through. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity, keeping position sizes modest and using tight stops below the nearest support.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing above zero simultaneously.
▲ STOCHRSI KD cross up adds to the bullish confluence.
▲ DEMA and EMA retreats indicate a pullback within an uptrend on the 1H.
▲ Strong signal probability (96%) and very strong strength rating.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are in solid downtrends, which could overpower the 1H bounce.
▼ Choppy price action on the 15M and 1H (trend score 1/5) suggests weak momentum.
▼ Resistance at 0.98299 is a nearby ceiling that could halt the advance.
▼ If support at 0.97121 breaks, the bullish setup is invalidated and the larger downtrend resumes.