AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.27 %
Entry
109.638
Target
111.303 +1.52 %
closes in profit
Stop
108.583 −0.96 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,571 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,571 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, ZLMA Retreat Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +7% Intraday
▲ Bullish 100 % (8.72) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 9.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.2 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 949 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.73
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.60
▲ ZLMA Retreat Up indicator 1.34
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 1.27
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.15
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.07

Trend Context

15M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish signals (Bullish Engulfing, BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO/Stoch exits) points to a short-term bounce in AUD/JPY on the 1H chart.
  • The broader trend across higher timeframes remains bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move; watch for resistance at 111.30300.
  • Support at 109.56800 is the key level to watch—if price falls back below it, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • Momentum indicators are turning up, but the lack of bullish alignment on higher timeframes suggests limited upside potential.
The AUD/JPY 1-hour chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern, a BOP Zero Cross Up, and exits from oversold conditions on the CMO and Stochastic oscillators, alongside HMA and ZLMA retreats to the upside. This confluence suggests a short-term rebound is underway, with momentum shifting from bearish to bullish at the 1-hour timeframe. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains bearish, with the 15-minute and 30-minute charts showing extremely strong bearish trends. This implies the current bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, and traders should be cautious about expecting sustained upside.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.30300 and support at 109.56800. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold above the current bounce area may lead to a retest of support. The alignment across timeframes is mixed: the 1-hour trend is forming bullish, but higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are choppy or sideways, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. Traders should monitor whether the bullish momentum can push price toward resistance and whether that level holds or breaks, as it will likely determine the next significant move.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, CMO, Stochastic) are aligning to signal a bullish reversal from oversold conditions.
  • ▲ The Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern adds confirmation of buying pressure at the 1H level.
  • ▲ HMA and ZLMA retreats up indicate that moving averages are starting to turn in favor of buyers.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is forming bullish, suggesting a potential shift in momentum at this timeframe.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (15m, 30m) are showing extremely strong bearish trends, which could overpower the 1H bullish signal.
  • ▼ A failure to break above the nearest resistance at 111.30300 could lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
  • ▼ If price falls back below the recent lows or the support at 109.56800, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
  • ▼ The bearish trend on the 4H and daily charts suggests that any bounce may be short-lived and could face selling pressure.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 10%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-05 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.30300 2026-11-04
R2 111.56400 2026-10-29
S1 109.56800 2026-11-04

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