AUD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.27 %
Entry
109.638
Target
111.303 +1.52 %
closes in profit
Stop
108.634 −0.92 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 982 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 982 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), BOP Zero Cross Up, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday
▲ Bullish 75 % (20.24) ▼ Bearish 25 % (6.82)
model score 74.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.2 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 949 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.51
▼ AO Zero Cross Down indicator 2.11
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 2.04
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.97
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.96
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.72
▼ MAMA Cross Down indicator 1.67
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.32
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.29
▲ Southern Doji candlestick 1.12
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.06
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 0.70

Trend Context

15M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish momentum signals on 2H suggest a potential reversal, but the overall trend remains bearish across all timeframes.
  • The signal is counter-trend, so confirmation from price action and a break above 111.30300 is essential.
  • Watch the 109.56800 support level as the key invalidation point for the bullish case.
  • The confluence of multiple indicators and Fibonacci levels adds some weight, but the bearish higher timeframes cap the upside potential.
The AUD/JPY 2H signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, MAMA Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, AO Zero Cross Down, and ER Level Cross Down, alongside additional indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci signals. This confluence suggests that the immediate downward pressure may be exhausting, with early signs of a bullish reversal building on the 2H timeframe. However, the broader trend context remains firmly bearish across all timeframes, with the 15m and 30m showing extremely strong and very strong bearish trends, respectively. The 1H and 2H trends are only forming, indicating that the bullish signal is counter to the dominant bearish momentum, which weakens the overall conviction of a sustained upward move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.30300 and support at 109.56800. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and open the path for further upside, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the conflicting timeframes, traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with moderate strength, requiring confirmation from price action and a clear break of the nearest resistance before committing to long positions.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish momentum indicators firing simultaneously on the 2H timeframe.
  • ▲ Presence of candlestick and Fibonacci signals adding confluence to the reversal idea.
  • ▲ The 2H trend is only 'forming', leaving room for a shift in momentum.
  • ▲ Nearest resistance is reasonably close, providing a clear target for a potential breakout.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Extremely strong bearish trends on 15m and 30m could overwhelm the 2H bullish signal.
  • ▼ All higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, suggesting the broader downtrend remains intact.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 111.30300, the bullish signal may fade quickly.
  • ▼ A drop below 109.56800 would invalidate the signal and likely trigger further downside.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 75%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-11-05 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.30300 2026-11-04
R2 111.56400 2026-10-29
S1 109.56800 2026-11-04
S2 109.48900 2026-10-23
S3 108.63400 2026-10-15

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