AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, HMA Break Down +19 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
- November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 3.30 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 3.18 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 3.13 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 3.06 |
| ▼ | DEMA Break Down | indicator | 2.99 |
| ▼ | EMA Break Down | indicator | 2.87 |
| ▼ | KAMA Break Down | indicator | 2.77 |
| ▼ | Momentum Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.66 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Break Down | indicator | 2.62 |
| ▼ | EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross | indicator | 2.59 |
| ▼ | MA Break Down | indicator | 2.49 |
| ▼ | MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.33 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 2.26 |
| ▼ | BBANDS LOWER Break Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | MACD Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | FISHER Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | QQE Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | TSI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | COPPOCK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▲ | CTI OS Entry | indicator | 0.88 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bearish momentum on the 2H chart with multiple technical signals aligning.
- Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are firmly bearish, supporting the sell signal.
- Watch the 109.568 support as the primary downside target; a break could accelerate selling.
- Resistance at 111.303 is the key invalidation level; a reclaim would signal a failed breakdown.
Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, with the 15m and 30m charts showing solid to very strong trends, while higher timeframes are still choppy or forming trends. This suggests the sell signal is driven by short-term momentum rather than a fully established long-term downtrend. The nearest support at 109.568 is the key downside target, while resistance at 111.303 is the level to watch for any bounce. A break below support could open further downside, but a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▼ Confluence of over 20 bearish signals including trendline, moving average, and MACD crossovers.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with strongest momentum on lower timeframes.
- ▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band and multiple key moving averages confirms selling pressure.
- ▼ Divergence signals indicate weakening bullish momentum, adding to the bearish case.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the trend may lack long-term conviction.
- ▲ A bounce from the 109.568 support could lead to a short squeeze, especially if the lower timeframe trends lose momentum.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 111.303 resistance, the breakdown is invalidated and a bullish reversal may follow.
- ▲ Momentum indicators may be overextended after the sharp drop, increasing the risk of a technical correction.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.30300 | 2026-11-04 |
| R2 | 111.56400 | 2026-10-29 |
| S1 | 109.56800 | 2026-11-04 |
| S2 | 109.48900 | 2026-10-23 |
| S3 | 108.63400 | 2026-10-15 |