AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-05 19:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.27 %

Entry

109.638

Target

111.131 +1.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.056 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, AO Saucer Bullish +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (14.79) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.2 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 949 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.61
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.59
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.35
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.21
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.20
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.18

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish momentum signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce attempt.
All timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move within a dominant downtrend.
Key resistance at 111.13100 caps upside; support at 109.56800 is the invalidation level.
Expect limited upside and consider tight risk controls given the bearish higher timeframe alignment.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO oversold exit, STOCHF and KDJ cross ups, an AO saucer bullish, and an SMI signal cross up, alongside a rising HMA and a TTM trend up. The confluence of these indicators points to a short-term bounce attempt from oversold conditions, with the candlestick group adding confirmation. However, the broader trend context remains firmly bearish: all timeframes from 15 minutes up to the daily chart are bearish, with the 15-minute and 30-minute trends rated as extremely strong and very strong respectively. This suggests the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend correction within a dominant downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.13100 and support at 109.56800. The bullish signals may target the resistance zone, but the higher timeframe bearish alignment argues for limited upside. The invalidation level for the bounce is the nearest support; a break below that would negate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a bearish trend, with tight risk management and a focus on the resistance level as a potential exit or reversal zone.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, STOCHF, KDJ, SMI, AO) are aligning bullishly after oversold conditions.
▲ HMA direction and TTM trend both point up, confirming short-term momentum shift.
▲ Candlestick patterns add confluence to the indicator signals.
▲ The bounce may find fuel from a potential short-covering rally after the extremely strong bearish trend.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframe trend is bearish across all timeframes, which could overwhelm the short-term bounce.
▼ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are extremely strong bearish, suggesting the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ Resistance at 111.13100 is a nearby barrier that could stall or reverse the move.
▼ A break below support at 109.56800 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.