AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW CLOSED

2026-11-05 16:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.31 %

Entry

109.912

Target

111.303 +1.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.568 −0.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ADX Trend Strong, HMA Retreat Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.39
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	2.07
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.83
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.23
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.12
▲	Hammer	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the broader trend remains bearish.
Key resistance at 111.30300 and support at 109.56800 define the immediate trading range.
Mixed timeframe alignment indicates this is likely a counter-trend move, not a full reversal.
Watch for a break of resistance to confirm bullish momentum, or a drop below support to signal invalidation.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bullish Harami and Hammer candlestick patterns, alongside momentum indicators like the ADX Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up. These signals suggest a short-term bounce or reversal attempt within a broader bearish trend. The HMA Retreat Up and ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down add nuance, indicating a potential pullback within a downtrend.

Across higher timeframes, the trend remains bearish, with the 15-minute and 8-hour charts showing solid or forming downtrends, while the 1-hour to 1-day timeframes are choppy and sideways. This mixed alignment suggests the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend move rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 111.30300 and support at 109.56800. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the broader downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals firing together (candlestick patterns and momentum indicators) increase confidence in a short-term bounce.
▲ The ADX Trend Strong suggests a strong move in the direction of the signal, even if counter to the higher timeframe trend.
▲ The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up and BOP Zero Cross Up indicate improving momentum and buying pressure.
▲ The HMA Retreat Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up support a bullish correction within the broader downtrend.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframe trend is bearish, which could overwhelm the counter-trend bounce.
▼ The 1-hour to 1-day timeframes are choppy and sideways, offering little trend support.
▼ A drop below the nearest support at 109.56800 would invalidate the bullish signals and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ The ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down is a bearish signal and may indicate that the bullish move is a pullback within a larger downtrend.