AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
10 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %
Entry
110.672
Target
109.568 +1.00 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.303 −0.57 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping
▲ Bullish 10 % (3.63) ▼ Bearish 90 % (33.34)
model score 90.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYBoJ Summary of Opinions●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 05:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.60
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.47
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.44
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.38
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.32
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.34
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.09
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals fired on the 30M chart, including BOP zero cross, stochastic cross, and multiple moving-average retreats.
  • The signal has a 90% probability and very strong strength, indicating high conviction in the short-term bearish move.
  • All timeframes are bearish, but higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, so the trend is not yet firmly established.
  • Key levels: resistance at 111.303 and support at 109.568; watch for a break below support to confirm further downside.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and a STOCHF KD Cross Down, with the Williams %R entering oversold territory and multiple moving-average-based retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA) all pointing lower. This confluence of momentum, volatility, and trend-following indicators suggests strong selling pressure at the time of the signal, with a very high probability score of 90% and very strong strength.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, though the higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are characterized as choppy/sideways with a trend score of only 1/5, indicating that the broader trend is not firmly established. The 15M and 30M timeframes show a forming bearish trend with a score of 2/5, suggesting that the short-term momentum is leading the move. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.303 and the nearest support at 109.568; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, trend, volatility) all pointing lower.
  • ▼ Uniform bearish bias across all timeframes, even if higher timeframes are choppy.
  • ▼ Signal strength rated 'very strong' with a 90% probability score.
  • ▼ Candlestick patterns included in the signal group, adding to the bearish confirmation.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are only mildly bearish and choppy, which could limit the follow-through.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 109.568 is a significant level; if price stalls there, the downside may be capped.
  • ▲ Williams %R in oversold territory could indicate that the move is overextended, risking a bounce.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 111.303 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-05 05:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.30300 2026-11-04
S1 109.56800 2026-11-04

Tags

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