AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 16:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.50 %

Entry

0.69596

Target

0.70246 +0.93 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69251 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 7h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 7h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.45
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	1.23
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.19

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bullish reversal signals on the 30-minute chart, but the broader trend is still bearish across most timeframes.
Watch the 0.70246 resistance: a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below 0.69541 support invalidates the signal.
The cluster of momentum and candlestick signals suggests a possible bounce, but treat it as counter-trend until higher timeframes confirm.
Higher timeframe trends are still down, so any rally may be limited and should be managed with tight risk controls.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and a STOCH KD Cross Up, reinforced by an HMA Retreat Up and two candlestick patterns: a Bullish Harami Cross and a Southern Doji. Together these indicate a short-term shift in buying pressure and a potential reversal attempt within a broader bearish structure. The confluence of momentum and candlestick signals suggests that sellers may be losing control at current levels, but the higher timeframes remain firmly bearish, so this should be viewed as a counter-trend bounce unless price can break above key resistance.

Trend alignment is mixed: the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes show strong bearish trends, while the 1-hour, 2-hour, and daily trends are only forming. This means the immediate momentum is turning up, but the larger picture still favors downside. The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is the critical level to watch—a break above it would signal a stronger reversal and align with the bullish signals. Conversely, the nearest support at 0.69541 is the invalidation zone; losing it would negate the bullish case and confirm the dominant downtrend. Given the strength of the signal cluster, a short-term bounce is plausible, but traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained move higher without confirmation on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals firing together (BOP, STOCH, HMA, and two candlestick patterns) create strong confluence for a short-term move.
▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends, while bearish, are showing signs of momentum shift as indicated by the signals, which can precede a reversal.
▲ Nearest support at 0.69541 has not been broken, suggesting buyers are defending the level and providing a base for a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish, so this bullish signal is counter-trend and may be short-lived.
▼ Resistance at 0.70246 is close above; if price fails to break it, the bounce could stall and reverse.
▼ A drop below 0.69541 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate selling pressure.
▼ Momentum signals can be noisy on the 30-minute timeframe; the bounce may fade quickly if higher timeframe sellers step in.