BTC/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 02:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +5.97 %

Entry

80,543.11

Target

75,736.38 +5.97 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,971.00 −1.77 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 3,691 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,691 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.07 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.09 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.11 % 22 % at stop avg −2.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, AO Saucer Bearish +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.4 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 32.1 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 2,248 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 9h
13:30TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 04:02 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.00
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.95
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.94
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.79
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.17

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals fired on the 2H, but the broader trend is still bullish across most timeframes.
Watch the 75736 support: a break below it would strengthen the bearish case; a bounce could invalidate the signal.
Resistance at 81971 is the key upside level to monitor for invalidation.
The signal is counter-trend, so it may be a pullback rather than a major reversal.

The 2H BTC/USDT signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, and KDJ Cross Down, alongside AO Saucer Bearish and HMA Retreat Down. Together, these suggest that buying pressure is fading after an overbought stretch, and that short-term momentum is turning lower. However, the broader trend remains predominantly bullish across lower timeframes (15m through 8h), with only the 12H and 1D showing early bearish formation. This creates a conflict: the signal is counter-trend against the dominant higher-timeframe bias, which weakens its reliability and suggests the move may be a pullback rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 81971 and support at 75736. A sustained break below the nearest support would confirm bearish continuation, while a bounce near support could invalidate the signal and resume the bullish trend. The signal's moderate strength and 68% probability reflect the mixed timeframe alignment. Traders should treat this as a tactical short within a larger uptrend, with strict risk management around the resistance level.

Catalysts

▼ A dense cluster of bearish indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCH, KDJ, AO) aligns on the 2H timeframe.
▼ RSI OB Exit and HMA Retreat Down suggest momentum is fading after an overbought condition.
▼ 12H and 1D timeframes are already showing bearish formation, hinting at potential larger-scale shift.
▼ Support at 75736 provides a clear downside target that, if broken, could accelerate selling.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 8h) remain bullish, which could overpower the 2H bearish signal.
▲ A bounce off support at 75736 would invalidate the bearish setup and likely resume the uptrend.
▲ The signal's moderate strength and 68% probability leave room for failure, especially in a strong uptrend.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 81971, the bearish thesis is negated.