BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-05 01:00 UTC 2 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.07 %

Entry

80,387.86

Target

75,736.38 +5.79 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,196.01 −1.01 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 5 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,400 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,400 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down, T3 Break Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +31.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (14.66)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.4 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,989 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 01:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.36
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.14
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.81
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.37
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.22

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 30-minute chart points to short-term downside momentum.
The 15-minute, 12-hour, and daily timeframes align bearish, but the intermediate timeframes (30m-8h) remain bullish, creating a mixed trend picture.
Key downside target is the nearest support at 75736.38; a break below could accelerate selling.
Resistance at 81196.01 is the invalidation level; a reclaim would negate the bearish signal.
The signal is strong (76% probability) but should be treated as a tactical trade given conflicting higher timeframes.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down and T3 Break Down, with additional confirmations from DEMA and Hilbert Transform indicators. This suggests an aggressive short-term shift in momentum, even though the broader trend structure remains mixed. The 15-minute timeframe is already bearish, and the 12-hour and daily timeframes also lean bearish, providing some alignment for the sell signal. However, the 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour timeframes are all bullish, which creates a conflicting picture and warns that this bearish move may be a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.

Traders should watch the nearest support at 75736.38 as the primary downside target, with a break below that level opening the door to further declines. On the upside, the nearest resistance at 81196.01 is the key level to monitor; a reclaim of that level would negate the bearish setup. The signal's high probability (76%) and strong strength suggest conviction, but the conflicting higher timeframes argue for caution. This is a short-term tactical opportunity, not a clear trend trade, and position sizing should reflect that.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BBANDS, DEMA, T3, Hilbert Transform) are all firing bearish simultaneously, increasing signal confluence.
▼ The 15-minute timeframe is already in a bearish trend, supporting the immediate downside move.
▼ The 12-hour and daily timeframes are also bearish, suggesting the larger picture may be turning.
▼ The signal strength is rated as strong, indicating high conviction among the technical indicators.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour timeframes are all bullish, which could mean this is just a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 81196.01, the bearish signal is invalidated and a rally may resume.
▲ The signal is based solely on indicators; without price confirmation (e.g., a break below support), the move could stall.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the broader bullish trend reasserts itself, leading to a false breakdown.