ETH/BTC – 8H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-05 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +2.03 %

Entry

0.03006

Target

0.02835 +5.69 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03065 −1.96 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.18 % per trade 1,080 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,080 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +3.92 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.24 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.53 % 21 % at stop avg −5.26 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 26 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, EMA 200 Break Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.5 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 10 % (3.63) ▼ Bearish 90 % (33.66)

model score 33.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.6 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 32.1 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 2,284 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.41
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.38
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.33
▼	EMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.21
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.27
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.25

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

8H momentum indicators are turning bearish, but the signal is weak and against the broader bullish trend.
Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) remain bullish, so the sell signal may be a pullback rather than a reversal.
Watch the 0.02835 support; a break below would strengthen the bearish case, while holding it could lead to a bounce.
Resistance at 0.03065 is the immediate upside barrier if the price recovers.

The 8H SELL signal on ETH/BTC is driven by a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators, including RSI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Break Down, and HMA Break Down, alongside ER Level Cross Down and ACCBANDS Upper Retreat. These suggest that the recent upside move has run out of steam at the 8H timeframe, with momentum turning lower. However, the signal's strength is weak and probability is only 60%, reflecting a lack of strong conviction.

Despite the 8H bearish signal, the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, with solid uptrends on the 1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes. The 15M and 30M are also bearish, but they are choppy or just forming. This creates a conflict: the signal is firing against the higher timeframe trend, which typically reduces reliability. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.03065 and support at 0.02835. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a rebound from support could invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals on the 8H timeframe, including RSI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and EMA 200 Break Down.
▼ Breakdown of the HMA and ER level cross down suggest short-term momentum is fading.
▼ The 15M and 30M timeframes are bearish, aligning with the 8H signal for a short-term move.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframe trend is bullish (1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, 1D), which could overpower the 8H bearish signal.
▲ Signal strength is weak and probability is only 60%, indicating low confidence.
▲ The 8H EMA 200 break down is contradicted by the bullish EMA 20/50 Golden Cross, creating mixed signals.
▲ If the price holds above 0.02835 support, the bearish move could fail and reverse upward.