EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-05 19:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.15 %

Entry

1.61602

Target

1.59940 +1.03 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.63078 −0.91 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,571 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,571 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, ZLMA Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −18.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 44 % (3.96) ▼ Bearish 56 % (5.07)

model score 14.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.2 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 949 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

07:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 9h
10:00TomorrowEURRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.1%in 12h
07:00November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.33
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.64
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Sell signal is weak and contradicts the broader bullish trend across all timeframes.
A Golden Cross (20/50 SMA) suggests underlying bullish momentum, but bearish retreat signals and a bearish Spinning Top hint at short-term downside.
Key levels: resistance at 1.61739, support at 1.59940; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum.
Given the weak signal strength and conflicting trends, treat this as a potential pullback, not a reversal.

The EUR/AUD 1H signal is a SELL, yet it is contradicted by a broadly bullish trend across all timeframes. The signal combines a Golden Cross (20/50 SMA), an ADX strong trend reading, and bearish retreat signals from HMA and ZLMA, alongside a bearish Spinning Top candlestick and a STOCH KD cross down. This suggests short-term momentum may be stalling within an overall uptrend, with the 1H trend only beginning to form (2/5) and higher timeframes showing bullish but choppy conditions.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 1.61739 and support at 1.59940. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a failure to hold below recent highs could see the sell signal fade. The weak probability (56%) and conflicting higher-timeframe trends argue for caution, as the sell signal may represent a pullback within a larger bullish structure rather than a reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals (STOCH KD cross down, HMA/ZLMA retreat, bearish Spinning Top) align on the 1H timeframe.
▼ ADX indicates a strong trend, which can fuel momentum in the direction of the signal if price breaks support.
▼ The Golden Cross (20/50 SMA) may have been overextended, inviting a short-term correction.
▼ Nearest resistance at 1.61739 provides a clear invalidation level for the sell setup.

Risk Factors

▲ All timeframes are bullish, with the 15m and 30m showing strong trends, which could overpower the 1H sell signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak (56%), indicating low conviction in the bearish move.
▲ If price fails to break below support at 1.59940, the sell signal could be invalidated and price may resume the uptrend.
▲ A bullish Spinning Top or a bounce off support could signal that the pullback is over.