EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.49 %
Entry
177.251
Target
178.482 +0.69 %
closes in profit
Stop
176.378 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat, HMA Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 684 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURCPI y/y●●●in 22h
  • TomorrowEURCPI m/m●●●in 22h
  • November 12, 2026EURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 1h 14%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.58
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 2.11
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.97
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.87
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.76
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.67
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.13
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.10

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • BUY signal on 1H with 73% probability, but trend across timeframes is mostly bearish.
  • Oversold momentum indicators (STOCH, RSX) suggest a potential bounce, but the Death Cross and Phasor cross down warn of underlying weakness.
  • Key resistance at 178.48200 and support at 177.15000 define the range for the move.
  • Higher timeframe trends (8H/12H) are bullish but weak, adding uncertainty.
The EUR/JPY 1H signal fires a BUY with 73% probability, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The STOCH KD Cross Up and RSX OS Entry point to oversold conditions reversing, while the EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, and HMA Retreat Up suggest upward pullbacks in moving averages. However, the SMA Cross 20/50 Death Cross and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down add a cautionary note, indicating that the immediate trend may still be bearish. The confluence of these signals suggests a potential short-term bounce, but the broader context is mixed.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish from 15m to 4H, with the 1H and 2H showing choppy, sideways action, while the 8H and 12H are bullish but only trend-forming. This divergence implies that any bullish move on the 1H could be corrective within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 178.48200 and support at 177.15000. A break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (STOCH KD Cross Up, RSX OS Entry) align for a bullish reversal.
  • ▲ EMA 200, SMA 200, and HMA all show upward retreat, suggesting buying pressure at lower levels.
  • ▲ Support at 177.15000 is nearby and could hold, providing a base for a bounce.
  • ▲ Probability of 73% indicates a strong signal within the 1H timeframe.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The SMA Cross 20/50 Death Cross and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down contradict the bullish signal, indicating bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Most lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are bearish, and the 1H trend is choppy, which could lead to a false breakout.
  • ▼ A break below support at 177.15000 would invalidate the signal and likely extend the downtrend.
  • ▼ Resistance at 178.48200 is close, and if it holds, the upside may be limited.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-05 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 178.48200 2026-11-04
S1 177.15000 2026-11-04
S2 176.37800 2026-11-03
S3 175.07300 2026-10-30

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