EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW CLOSED

2026-11-04 21:00 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.25 %

Entry

1.12282

Target

1.11750 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12560 −0.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.87
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.33

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong cluster of bearish momentum signals fired on the 1H chart, indicating a likely pullback.
The broader trend is bullish across higher timeframes, so this sell signal is counter-trend and may be limited.
Watch the nearest support at 1.11750; a break below could open the door to further downside, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
Resistance at 1.12371 is the immediate upside barrier; reclaiming it would invalidate bearish momentum.

The EUR/USD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, and MIDPRICE Retreat Down—all pointing to a sharp loss of upside momentum at the 1H level. This is a very strong confluence of retreat-type signals, suggesting that the recent bullish push on the 1H chart is stalling and that price is likely to correct lower in the near term.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish, the 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, with the 2H and 1D showing solid trends (3/5). This means the sell signal is counter to the larger bullish structure, and the move lower is likely a pullback rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12371 and support at 1.11750. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while a hold above could see the pair resume its broader uptrend.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat-type signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all firing together on the 1H chart.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down confirm bearish momentum and overbought conditions unwinding.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish, supporting the immediate downside move.
▼ The signal probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, reflecting high confluence among indicators.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The 1H trend is still bullish, so the sell signal may be a pullback within an uptrend rather than a new downtrend.
▲ If price holds above the nearest support at 1.11750, the bearish momentum could fade and the pair may resume its broader uptrend.
▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 1.12371 would invalidate the bearish signal and suggest the pullback is over.