EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %
Entry
1.12249
Target
1.11750 +0.44 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12731 −0.43 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 982 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 982 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (25.49)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 738 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 9h
  • TomorrowEURRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.1%in 12h
  • TomorrowUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 16h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.94
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.32
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum cluster on the 2H chart, with multiple indicators crossing down simultaneously.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) remain bullish, creating a conflicting trend context.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 1.12731 and support at 1.11750.
  • The signal is very strong but should be treated cautiously given the higher-timeframe bullish trend.
The EUR/USD 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, and STOCHF all crossing down through their zero or midline levels, alongside a DEMA retreat down. This convergence suggests a strong short-term momentum shift to the downside, with the probability rated at 100% and very strong strength. The signal is further supported by a candlestick group, adding a price-action confirmation to the momentum breakdown.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are bearish, the higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain bullish, with the daily showing a solid uptrend. This creates a conflict where the 2H sell signal is counter to the higher-timeframe bullish bias. The nearest resistance at 1.12731 and support at 1.11750 are critical levels to watch. A break below support could confirm the bearish move, while a hold above resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of 15+ momentum indicators all firing bearish at once, indicating a powerful short-term shift.
  • ▼ Candlestick pattern confirmation adds weight to the momentum breakdown.
  • ▼ Short-term timeframes (15m-1H) are aligned bearish, supporting the immediate move.
  • ▼ The signal's probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, reflecting high conviction in the model.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bullish, so the sell signal may be a pullback within an uptrend, not a reversal.
  • ▲ The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below support at 1.11750, the bearish momentum could fade quickly.
  • ▲ A move back above resistance at 1.12731 would invalidate the bearish signal and likely resume the broader uptrend.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-05 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12731 2026-11-04
S1 1.11750 2026-11-03
S2 1.11365 2026-10-30
S3 1.11044 2026-10-29

Tags

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