GBP/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 21:00 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.16 %

Entry

1.34712

Target

1.33961 +0.56 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.35969 −0.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 6 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 27 % (2.80) ▼ Bearish 73 % (7.54)

model score 4.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar

12:00TodayGBPBoE MPC Vote Unchanged●●○Previous 6in 7h
12:00TodayGBPBoE MPC Vote Hike●●○Previous 3in 7h
12:00TodayGBPBoE MPC Vote Cut●●○Previous 0in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators fired on the 1H chart, signaling a strong short-term sell opportunity.
The signal is counter-trend to the higher timeframes, which remain bullish, so treat it as a pullback trade unless support breaks.
Key support at 1.33961 is the critical level; a break below could invalidate the bullish higher-timeframe outlook.
Expect choppy, sideways action on the lower timeframes, which may limit the follow-through of the bearish move.

The 1H GBP/USD chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including Aroon Cross Down, Aroon Oscillator Zero Cross Down, Balance of Power Zero Cross Down, Stochastic RSI KD Cross Down, and a break below the middle Bollinger Band. This confluence suggests a strong short-term bearish impulse, with the signal scoring a 91% probability and very strong strength. The immediate bearish pressure is reinforced by the 15m and 30m timeframes, which are already in bearish, albeit choppy, conditions. However, the higher timeframes (1H to 8H) remain in solid bullish trends, and the 12H and 1D are forming bullish trends. This creates a potential conflict: the sell signal is a counter-trend move against the dominant bullish structure. The nearest support is at 1.33961, which is the key level to watch. If price holds above this support, the bearish move may be a pullback within the larger uptrend, while a break below could signal a deeper correction or a potential trend reversal.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of 10+ bearish indicator signals on the 1H timeframe, increasing the probability of the move.
▼ Bearish alignment on the 15m and 30m timeframes supports the short-term downside momentum.
▼ The signal strength is 'very strong' with a 91% probability, suggesting robust bearish momentum.
▼ The break below the middle Bollinger Band and other moving average retreats confirms immediate selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H to 8H) are in solid bullish trends, so the sell signal could be a pullback within an uptrend, leading to a bounce.
▲ The lower timeframes are choppy/sideways, which may cause erratic price action and reduce the reliability of the signal.
▲ If price holds above support at 1.33961, the bearish move may stall and reverse, invalidating the short-term sell.
▲ Watch for a potential bullish reversal signal on the 1H or lower timeframes, which would conflict with the current bearish setup.