USD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-04 22:00 UTC 4 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.16 %

Entry

1.39726

Target

1.39418 +0.22 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40145 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 5 % (2.51) ▼ Bearish 95 % (44.95)

model score 94.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.51
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.35
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.25
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.33
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	Bearish Meeting Lines	candlestick	1.20

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on USD/CAD 2H with multiple indicators aligned.
Daily timeframe shows a solid downtrend, supporting the sell bias.
Watch for a break below 1.39502 to confirm further downside.
Immediate resistance at 1.40145; a move above would negate the signal.

The USD/CAD 2H signal is a SELL, backed by a broad cluster of bearish indicators. The ADXR Trend Weak suggests the current trend lacks strong momentum, while the BOP Zero Cross Down and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicate selling pressure and a move below the mid-Bollinger Band. The EMA 50 Retreat Down and KAMA Retreat Down confirm a bearish pullback in moving averages. However, the CCI Zero Cross Up and MACD Signal Cross Up hint at short-term upward corrections, which may offer better entry prices for sellers. The STOCHF KD Cross Down adds a bearish momentum confirmation.

Across timeframes, the bias is predominantly bearish, with the 2H, 4H, and 8H charts showing a trend forming (2/5) and the daily chart in a solid downtrend (3/5). The shorter timeframes (15m and 30m) are bullish but choppy, which could cause minor pullbacks. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.40145 and support at 1.39502. A break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of bearish signals across 2H, 4H, 8H, and daily timeframes.
▼ EMA 50 and KAMA both retreating downward, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicate selling pressure.
▼ Daily trend score of 3/5 (solid trend) supports the bearish outlook.

Risk Factors

▲ ADXR Trend Weak indicates weak trend strength, which may lead to choppy price action.
▲ CCI and MACD are crossing up, suggesting short-term bullish corrections.
▲ 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, which could cause temporary upward moves.
▲ If price breaks above 1.40145, the bearish signal would be invalidated.