USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %
Entry
1.39531
Target
1.39299 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40145 −0.44 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), EMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle
STRONG ⚡ Confluence +39% Scalping
▲ Bullish 14 % (9.09) ▼ Bearish 86 % (55.13)
model score 85.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
  • TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h
  • TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 86%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.26
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.69
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ AO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
▲ STC OS Entry indicator 1.36
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.92

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful bearish cluster has fired on the 30-minute chart, with 15 indicators all pointing lower.
  • The daily timeframe is in a solid downtrend, aligning with the intraday bearish signals.
  • Watch the nearest support at 1.39296 as the immediate downside target; a break could accelerate selling.
  • Resistance at 1.40145 is the key invalidation level—if price reclaims it, the bearish setup weakens.
The USD/CAD 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, with 15 indicators all aligned to the downside. The Stochastic Fast (STOCHF) has just printed a bearish cross, while a retreat in the DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, and MIDPOINT all confirm that momentum is shifting lower. This is further reinforced by a retreat from a higher-timeframe trendline, adding a structural element to the move. The confluence of these signals across different indicator families (momentum, trend, and moving averages) points to a strong, broad-based bearish push.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the strength varies. The daily chart shows a solid downtrend (3/5), which provides the macro backdrop, while the intraday timeframes are either forming trends or choppy/sideways. This suggests that the current 30-minute sell signal is likely a continuation of the larger daily downtrend rather than a reversal. The immediate target is the nearest support at 1.39296, with resistance at 1.40145 acting as the key level to watch. A break below support could open the door to further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment across multiple indicator families (momentum, trend, moving averages) on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▼ The daily chart is in a solid downtrend, providing a supportive higher-timeframe backdrop.
  • ▼ The retreat from the higher-timeframe trendline adds a structural bearish element.
  • ▼ The high probability (97%) and very strong strength rating indicate robust signal conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Intraday timeframes (30m, 1h, 12h) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 1.40145 is relatively close; a reclaim of this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls at support, especially given the mixed intraday trend strength.
  • ▲ A sudden shift in news sentiment or economic data could override the technical signals.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 86%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-05 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40145 2026-11-04
S1 1.39296 2026-11-04

Tags

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