USD/CHF – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-05 02:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

0.81438

Target

0.81859 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.81274 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 78 % (7.23) ▼ Bearish 22 % (2.00)

model score 13.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 916 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

06:45TodayCHFUnemployment Rate●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.1%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.93
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.89
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.77
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.20
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.76

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart points to a short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
The nearest resistance at 0.81859 is the immediate upside target; a break above it could open the door for further gains.
Support at 0.81274 is the invalidation level—a close below it would negate the bullish setup.
Treat this as a counter-trend long with tight risk controls, not a trend reversal.

The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI exiting oversold, a STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR exiting oversold, an HMA Retreat Up, a Keltner Lower retreat, and two bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami and Spinning Top Bullish). This confluence of momentum, volatility, and candlestick signals suggests a short-term bounce is underway, with buyers stepping in after an oversold condition. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 15-minute, 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour charts. The daily chart is choppy and sideways, indicating a lack of strong directional commitment on the higher timeframe.

Given this alignment, the bullish signals are best viewed as a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.81859 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold above it would likely see the bounce fade. The nearest support at 0.81274 is the key level to watch for invalidation—if price closes below this, the bullish case is negated. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, not a trend reversal signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) are exiting oversold conditions, suggesting momentum is turning upward.
▲ Bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami, Spinning Top Bullish) add confluence to the reversal signal.
▲ The Keltner Lower retreat and HMA Retreat Up indicate price is pulling back from extreme levels, often preceding a bounce.
▲ The daily chart is choppy/sideways, which may allow for a temporary bullish move without strong higher-timeframe resistance.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish, so this could be a dead-cat bounce rather than a real reversal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.81859 is nearby and may cap upside; a failure to break above it would confirm weakness.
▼ If price closes below support at 0.81274, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Momentum from the oversold exit may fade quickly if the broader bearish trend reasserts itself.