USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 15:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.31 %

Entry

157.879

Target

157.397 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.674 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,673 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,673 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Break Down, MA Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down +20 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 8h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.78
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.72
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.71
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.62
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.58
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.48
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.48
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.42
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.29
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	2.00
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.32
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.30
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.19
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 1H with 89% probability and very strong trend strength.
Multiple momentum indicators (AROON, MACD, CCI, MOM, ROC) all confirm downside.
Watch for a break below 157.783 support to confirm the move; resistance at 158.674 is the key invalidation level.
Higher timeframes are mostly choppy/sideways, with a bullish 4H bias, so treat this as a short-term opportunity.

The 1H USD/JPY signal is strongly bearish, with a very strong probability of 89% and a confluence of momentum and trend indicators firing in the same direction. The AROON Cross Down and Strong Downtrend, along with the MACD, CCI, and MOM zero-line crosses, all point to accelerating downside momentum. The higher timeframe trend is mixed but leans bearish: while the 15m and 30m charts show bearish momentum, the 1H and above are choppy/sideways, and the 4H is actually bullish. This suggests the current selloff may be a short-term move within a broader consolidation, so traders should watch for confirmation and potential reversal near key support.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 158.674 and support at 157.783. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and extend the move, while a failure to hold below resistance could signal a pullback or reversal. The mixed higher timeframe trend, particularly the bullish 4H bias, is a cautionary note, so traders should avoid overextending the short and watch for signs of momentum fading.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 20+ indicators all firing bearish, including AROON and MACD cross-downs.
▼ Very strong trend score on the 1H and strong momentum on the 15m and 30m timeframes.
▼ Price is below the nearest resistance, with clear downside targets at support.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trend is mixed; the 4H is bullish and could provide support and reverse the move.
▲ The 1H trend is described as choppy/sideways, which can lead to false breakouts and whipsaws.
▲ If price fails to break below 157.783, the bearish signal may weaken, and a move above 158.674 would invalidate the setup.

Symbol USD/JPY

Timeframe 1H

Direction SELL

Conviction 92%

Strength VERY STRONG

Date 2026-11-05 15:00

cat_ Forex Forex