USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.31 %
Entry
157.879
Target
157.397 +0.31 %
closes in profit
Stop
158.768 −0.56 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,035 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,035 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
21 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, QSTICK Zero Cross Down, COPPOCK Zero Cross Down +22 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 7h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 7h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 5 × 2h 85%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 2.23
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.70
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ COPPOCK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.28
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.21
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.20
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.12
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.10
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.10
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.06
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 0.98
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.95
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 0.86
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.86
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.85

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 2H with multiple indicators aligned to the downside.
  • Most timeframes are bearish, though higher timeframes are choppy, suggesting a trend that is not yet fully established.
  • Key resistance at 158.768 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the sell signal.
  • Support at 157.397 is the immediate downside target, but watch for potential bounces near that level.
The USD/JPY 2H signal is firmly bearish, with a very strong probability (92%) and a cluster of momentum and trend indicators all crossing below their zero lines or signaling a downward cross. This includes the BOP, CCI, CMO, DI, DM, MOM, ROC, and ROCR, among others, reflecting broad-based selling pressure across multiple technical dimensions. The confluence of these signals on the 2H timeframe suggests that bearish momentum is not isolated but rather reinforced by a variety of independent indicators, increasing the reliability of the setup.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with the 15m showing a very strong bearish trend (4/5) and the 30m in the early stages of a bearish trend (2/5). Higher timeframes such as 1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are also bearish but choppy or sideways, indicating that the overall direction is down, though with some consolidation. The 4H timeframe is the only one with a bullish bias, but it is also choppy, which may limit upside potential. The nearest resistance at 158.768 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 157.397 provides a potential target zone, but traders should be cautious of a bounce if that level is approached.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Broad-based indicator convergence on the 2H, including BOP, CCI, CMO, DI, DM, MOM, ROC, and ROCR all crossing down.
  • ▼ Very strong bearish trend on the 15m (4/5) providing short-term momentum alignment.
  • ▼ Multiple timeframes (1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, reinforcing the overall downward bias.
  • ▼ The 4H bullish bias is weak and choppy, limiting the potential for a sustained upside reversal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe is bullish, which could conflict with the bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong trend momentum that could fade.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 158.768, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum indicators may be overextended, increasing the risk of a short-term pullback.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 85%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-05 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.76800 2026-11-03
R2 158.94900 2026-10-14
S1 157.39700 2026-11-04
S2 156.96200 2026-10-30
S3 156.07500 2026-10-23

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