USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 16:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.34 %

Entry

157.931

Target

158.674 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.397 −0.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross, HMA Retreat Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 17.8 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 7h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%in 7h
13:30TodayUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.78
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.88
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.86
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.73
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.24
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.17

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term buy signal on USD/JPY 30M with multiple bullish indicators and a Bullish Harami.
Upside likely limited by nearest resistance at 158.674; downside risk at support 157.783.
Broader trend is bearish, so this is a counter-trend bounce—trade with tight risk management.
Watch for a break above resistance to confirm, or a drop below support to invalidate.

The USD/JPY 30-minute buy signal is driven by a cluster of technical indicators and a bullish candlestick pattern. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates a shift in buying pressure, while the BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up and HMA Retreat Up suggest a bounce from oversold conditions. The Golden Cross on the SMA 20/50 adds a bullish momentum component, and the Bullish Harami reinforces a potential reversal. However, the broader trend context is predominantly bearish, with most timeframes showing bearish or choppy/sideways trends, and the 15-minute trend is very strongly bearish. This suggests the buy signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.674 and support at 157.783. A break above resistance could confirm further upside, while a move below support would invalidate the bullish setup. The confluence of multiple indicators and the candlestick pattern increases the probability of a short-term bounce, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators align: BOP, BBANDS, SMA Golden Cross, AO, Coppock, KST, HMA all point to bullish momentum.
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick pattern adds reversal confirmation.
▲ Strong signal strength (75% probability) and high confluence across indicator and candlestick groups.
▲ Nearest support at 157.783 may act as a launching pad if held.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends are predominantly bearish, especially 15M very strong bearish—counter-trend signals can fail.
▼ The 30M trend is still bearish, so the buy signal may only be a temporary retracement.
▼ If price breaks below 157.783 support, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Resistance at 158.674 is close, limiting upside potential.