AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.38 %

Entry

108.664

Target

108.250 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.131 −2.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Flag, ALMA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.74
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	3.23
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.59
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.01
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 1H chart, reinforcing a sell bias.
Trend is bearish and very strong on lower timeframes (15m to 2H), but higher timeframes are choppy.
Resistance at 111.13100 is the immediate upside barrier; no clear support level is provided.
The signal strength is very strong (probability 100%), but higher timeframe choppiness warrants caution.

The 1H AUD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bear Flag pattern, a Bearish Engulfing candle, and multiple indicator retreats (DEMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, ALMA) alongside a BOP Zero Cross Down and SMI Signal Cross Down. This confluence points to strong downward momentum in the near term. The trend is consistently bearish across the 15m to 2H timeframes, with very strong trend scores (4/5) on the lower timeframes, while the 4H and 8H show a forming bearish trend. However, the higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are choppy/sideways, suggesting that the current bearish move may be a corrective phase within a larger range. The nearest resistance is at 111.13100, which acts as a key level to watch for any bounce. Since no support is defined, traders should be cautious about how far the move can extend.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals across candlestick, chart pattern, and indicator groups.
▼ Very strong bearish trend scores on 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes.
▼ Bear Flag pattern and Bearish Engulfing candle both point to continued downside.
▼ Multiple indicator retreats confirm downward momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are choppy/sideways, which could limit the bearish move.
▲ No defined support level means the downside could be limited or prone to reversal.
▲ A break above resistance at 111.13100 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum may fade if the trend on 4H and 8H does not strengthen.