AUD/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 02:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.74 %

Entry

108.664

Target

108.090 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.564 −2.67 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 634 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 634 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	3.05
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	3.04
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.86
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.91
▼	TRIX Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.30
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.21
▼	Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.98
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.94
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.58

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster has fired on the 4H chart, suggesting continued downside momentum.
Shorter timeframes (15m-1h) show very strong bearish trends, supporting the sell signal.
Watch the nearest support at 108.63400 for a potential target; a break below could accelerate the move.
The higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy, so the trend may lack long-term conviction.

The AUD/JPY 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and TRIX Zero Cross Down, alongside RSI and WILLR oversold entries and a break below the lower Bollinger Band. This confluence points to strong downward momentum and a breakdown in buying pressure. The T3 Retreat Down and additional candlestick and indicator signals reinforce the bearish setup, suggesting that the recent price action is likely to continue lower.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent but not uniformly strong. The 15m through 1h charts show very strong bearish trends, while the 2h chart shows a solid trend. However, the 4h and 8h trends are only forming (2/5), and the 12h and 1d trends are choppy/sideways (1/5). This means the immediate momentum is strongly bearish, but the longer-term picture is less decisive. The nearest resistance is at 111.56400, and the nearest support is at 108.63400, providing key levels to watch for continuation or reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (APO, BOP, TRIX) all crossed below zero, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ RSI and WILLR are in oversold territory, but the entry signal suggests the downtrend may continue.
▼ Price broke below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating strong selling pressure.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 2h timeframes supports the bearish direction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 12h and 1d timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could mean the current downtrend is part of a larger range.
▲ Oversold conditions (RSI, WILLR) could lead to a bounce, especially if price approaches the nearest support at 108.63400.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 111.56400, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The 4h trend is only forming (2/5), so the signal may be early and prone to consolidation.