AUD/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW
57 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
0.68693
Target
0.68324 +0.54 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70680 −2.89 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 611 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 611 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.44 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, ALMA Break Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 13 % (2.95) ▼ Bearish 87 % (20.53)
model score 87.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/USD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 2h
  • TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 2h
  • TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.50
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.48
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.42
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ TEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.71
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.23

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • AUD/USD is in a strong bearish trend across most timeframes, with a very strong 4H sell signal.
  • Multiple indicators align for a downside move, including MAMA PRICE Break Down and T3 Break Down.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.70680 is a key level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Oversold conditions (RSX OS Entry) may cause a short-term bounce, but the trend remains down.
The AUD/USD 4H signal is firmly bearish, with a very strong probability of 87% and a very strong strength rating. The confluence of multiple indicators—STOCH KD Cross Up, MAMA PRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, T3 Break Down, TEMA Retreat Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, and RSX OS Entry—points to a continuation of the downtrend. The trend across timeframes is consistently bearish, with strong alignment from the 15-minute through the 4-hour charts, though the 12-hour timeframe shows choppy/sideways action, suggesting some caution. The nearest resistance at 0.70680 is a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a reversal, while a sustained move below current levels would reinforce the bearish outlook.

Traders should note that the bearish signals are supported by a very strong trend on the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes, which often leads the higher timeframes. The RSX OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains down. The lack of a defined nearest support level means there is no immediate floor, so downside moves could be sharp. Monitoring price action around the 0.70680 resistance is crucial; as long as price stays below it, the bearish bias remains intact.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across timeframes: bearish on 15m through 4H, reinforcing the signal.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple technical indicators all pointing downward.
  • ▼ Very strong trend scores on 30m and 1H suggest momentum is behind the move.
  • ▼ Breakdown signals (MAMA PRICE, T3) indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 12H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could undermine the strength of the 4H signal.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions may lead to a short-term bounce, potentially stalling the decline.
  • ▲ A break above the 0.70680 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ The lack of a defined support level means there is no clear downside target, increasing uncertainty.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 87%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-06 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70680 2026-10-29
R2 0.71398 2026-09-21

Tags

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