EUR/GBP – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.09 %
Entry
0.83398
Target
0.83807 +0.49 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83216 −0.22 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 634 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 634 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, DEMA Break Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/GBP  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/GBP

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURCPI y/y●●●in 9h
  • TomorrowEURCPI m/m●●●in 9h
  • November 12, 2026GBPGDP y/y●●●Forecast 1.3%Previous 1.4%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 4h 20%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 1.91
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 1.91
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.83
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.73
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.50
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.31
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.26
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.26
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 4H chart suggests a potential bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.83807—a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while failure keeps the bias lower.
  • The nearest support at 0.83216 is the key invalidation level; a close below it negates the bullish setup.
  • Expect selling pressure from the very strong 12H and 1D downtrends, so any long is counter-trend and should be managed tightly.
The EUR/GBP 4H chart is flashing a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a DEMA Break Up, suggesting a near-term reversal attempt from oversold conditions. Additional momentum oscillators—CCI, CTI, and ERI—have all exited oversold territory, while the HT Phasor and Sine Wave confirm a cyclical turn higher. This confluence of price-action and indicator signals points to a potential bounce toward the nearest resistance at 0.83807, with a break above that level opening the door for a more sustained recovery.

However, the broader trend remains firmly bearish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily chart, with the 12H and 1D trends rated as very strong. This creates a clear conflict: the 4H signals are counter-trend, and any upside is likely to face selling pressure from the dominant downtrend. The nearest support at 0.83216 is the immediate invalidation zone—if price breaks below this level, the bullish setup is negated and the downtrend resumes. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger bearish context, watching for a decisive close above resistance to confirm the reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (Trendline Break, DEMA Break, CCI, CTI, ERI) are aligned in a bullish direction, increasing the probability of a bounce.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions on several oscillators suggest that downside momentum is exhausted, paving the way for a technical correction.
  • ▲ The HT Phasor and Sine Wave signals indicate a cyclical bottom, which often precedes a short-term rally.
  • ▲ The 88% probability and 'very strong' signal strength reflect a high degree of confluence among the triggered signals.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the very strong 12H and 1D trends, could overwhelm the counter-trend bounce.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 0.83216, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
  • ▼ The 4H signals are occurring within a bearish structure, making this a counter-trend trade with limited upside potential.
  • ▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the bounce runs out of steam near resistance, leading to a retest of the lows.
Symbol EUR/GBP
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 20%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-06 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83807 2026-10-28
R2 0.84020 2026-10-26
R3 0.84777 2026-10-15
S1 0.83216 2026-11-02

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