EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend 3× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.25 %
Entry
176.826
Target
176.378 +0.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
178.482 −0.94 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayEURCPI y/y●●●in 2h
  • TodayEURCPI m/m●●●in 2h
  • TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 5 × 1h 98%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.78
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.71
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.56
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.33
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 1.15
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.03
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.03
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.03
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.01
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 0.94

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 1H chart points to strong selling momentum.
  • The bearish trend is solid on the 30m and 1H, with broader timeframes also bearish but still forming.
  • Watch the 176.378 support; a break below would confirm the bearish move, while 178.482 is the key resistance to reclaim for invalidation.
  • Choppy conditions on the 15m and 4H suggest the move may not be smooth—expect possible pullbacks.
The EUR/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all aligning on the same side of the tape. The breadth of the signal set—including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA retreats—points to a synchronized loss of upside momentum and a shift in intraday control toward sellers. This is reinforced by a solid bearish trend on the 30m and 1H timeframes, while the broader structure (2H through 1D) is also bearish but still forming, suggesting the move may have room to develop if lower timeframe selling persists.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 178.482 and support at 176.378. A sustained break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the path for further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of momentum, trend, and moving average signals on the 1H, supported by the bearish alignment on the 30m, gives this signal a high probability reading, but the choppy 15m and 4H timeframes warrant caution against chasing the move at current levels.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossed below zero or their signal lines, confirming bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA) and a trendline retreat indicate price is pulling back from resistance.
  • ▼ The 30m and 1H timeframes show a solid bearish trend, providing a clear directional bias.
  • ▼ The overall multi-timeframe structure is bearish, even if still forming on higher timeframes.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m and 4H timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the 178.482 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ The higher timeframe trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so the bearish move may lack sustained follow-through.
  • ▲ Momentum signals can fade quickly if price stalls near support, so watch for a loss of downside momentum.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-06 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 178.48200 2026-11-04
S1 176.37800 2026-11-03
S2 175.07300 2026-10-30

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