NZD/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-06 06:00 UTC 56 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

0.55427

Target

0.55127 +0.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56516 −1.96 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 611 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 611 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.44 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, MAMA PRICE Break Down, KST Signal Cross Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 17 % (4.03) ▼ Bearish 83 % (19.78)

model score 83.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 2h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.89
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.02
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.64
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.63
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	1.62
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.30
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.10
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.63

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Sell signal is backed by a strong confluence of momentum and trend indicators on the 4H chart.
All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, with the strongest trend on the lower timeframes.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.56516; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
The oversold RSI suggests the market is stretched, but momentum still favors downside.

The 4H NZD/USD signal is firmly bearish, with a strong confluence of momentum and trend indicators. The ADXR Trend Strong confirms a well-established downtrend, while the APO Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down signal accelerating downside momentum. The RSI OS Entry indicates the market is oversold but still favors continued selling pressure, and the cluster of price-based signals (DEMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down) all point to lower prices as the market breaks below key moving averages.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent: the 15m, 30m, and 1h charts show very strong to extremely strong downtrends, while the 4H and 8H are still forming but clearly bearish. The 12H and 1D solid trends reinforce the broader bearish picture. The nearest resistance at 0.56516 is the immediate hurdle; a break back above this level would signal a potential reversal, but as long as price stays below it, the path of least resistance remains lower.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend alignment across all timeframes, with the 15m, 30m, and 1h showing very strong to extremely strong bearish trends.
▼ Multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) firing in the same direction, increasing signal reliability.
▼ Price breaking below key moving averages (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) confirms bearish momentum.
▼ High probability (83%) and strong strength rating on the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The RSI is oversold, which could lead to a short-term bounce or consolidation before further downside.
▲ The 4H and 8H trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so the medium-term trend is not as mature as the lower timeframes.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.56516 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a reversal.
▲ If the lower timeframe momentum fades, the sell signal may lose steam even if the higher timeframe trend remains bearish.