USD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-06 06:00 UTC 58 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

158.338

Target

158.768 +0.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.397 −0.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 611 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 611 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.44 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, KELTNER MID Cross Up, CTI OS Exit +20 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 94 % (46.55) ▼ Bearish 6 % (3.07)

model score 93.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 761 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 2h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	2.16
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	2.10
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.03
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.03
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	2.03
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.98
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.68
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.55
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.52
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.35
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossed above zero/midline on the 4H, signaling strong bullish momentum.
The signal is a counter-trend move: higher timeframes (2H and above) remain bearish, so this is likely a correction within a downtrend.
Key levels: resistance at 158.768, support at 157.397. A break above resistance could extend the rally; a break below support would invalidate the bullish signal.
The bullish bias is strongest on lower timeframes (15m-1h), but the higher timeframe trend is weak and choppy, so manage risk tightly.

The USD/JPY 4H signal has fired a broad cluster of momentum oscillators crossing above their zero or midlines, including BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, and RSI, alongside a weak DX trend reading. This indicates a sudden shift in buying pressure and a potential reversal from the recent bearish bias. The confluence of multiple momentum indicators crossing simultaneously suggests strong intraday bullish momentum, but the higher timeframes remain bearish and choppy, which tempers the signal's reliability.

On the 4H chart, the trend is still bearish and choppy, but the signal suggests a short-term bullish correction. The nearest resistance at 158.768 is the immediate upside target, while support at 157.397 provides a floor. The 15m to 1h timeframes are bullish and forming trends, supporting the immediate move, but the 2H and above are bearish, indicating that this could be a counter-trend bounce. Traders should watch for a break above resistance to confirm a larger reversal, or a failure at that level to signal a resumption of the downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossing above zero/midline simultaneously provides strong confluence.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish and forming trends, supporting immediate upside.
▲ The signal strength is 'very strong' with a 93% probability, reflecting robust momentum alignment on the 4H.
▲ The weak DX trend reading suggests the current trend is not strong, allowing for a potential reversal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, so the bullish signal could be a short-lived counter-trend bounce.
▼ The 2H timeframe is bearish, conflicting with the lower timeframe bullishness and indicating potential resistance ahead.
▼ Resistance at 158.768 is nearby and could cap upside; a failure to break above it would signal fading momentum.
▼ If price breaks below support at 157.397, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.