AVAX/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −10.95 %

Entry

7.8390

Target

7.6677 +2.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.1600 −16.85 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.19 % per trade 1,177 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,177 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

28 % at target avg +3.87 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.27 % 26 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.54 % 22 % at stop avg −5.18 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Hidden Bear Div, AO Hidden Bear Div, DEMA Break Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

44.6 % ↑ +8.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Swing

▲ Bullish 2 % (0.95) ▼ Bearish 98 % (52.44)

model score 27.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 11h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 11h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 11h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MACD Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.71
▼	AO Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.56
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.53
▼	RSI Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.49
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.47
▼	MCGD Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.37
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.18
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	Three Outside Down	candlestick	1.00
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on 8H, including multiple moving average breakdowns and a Bollinger Band lower break.
All timeframes are bearish, but some are still forming trends, indicating the downtrend may have further to run.
The Inverted Hammer and momentum indicators (STOCH, KDJ, MCGD) confirm fading bullish momentum.
Resistance at 9.16000 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.

The AVA/USDT 8H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a STOCH KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and multiple moving average breakdowns (DEMA, ALMA) alongside a BBANDS Lower Break Down. The appearance of an Inverted Hammer adds a candlestick confirmation, while the MIDPOINT Retreat Down and MCGD Retreat Down indicate momentum is fading. With a very strong probability score of 98%, the confluence of these signals points to sustained selling pressure, reinforced by a bearish alignment across all major timeframes from 15m up to 1D.

Trend scores are solidly bearish across most timeframes, though the 30m, 4H, 8H, and 1D show trend forming rather than fully established. This suggests the bearish move is still developing, and the break below the lower Bollinger Band on 8H implies a potential acceleration lower. The nearest resistance sits at 9.16000, which now acts as a key overhead barrier; a retest of this level could offer a short entry opportunity if it holds. Without a defined support level, downside targets are open, but traders should watch for any reversal signals near prior lows or psychological levels.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of signals across candlestick, indicator, and divergence groups.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on 15m, 1H, 2H, and 12H.
▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band often signals a continuation of the downtrend.
▼ Multiple moving average breakdowns (DEMA, ALMA) reinforce the bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 8H and 4H trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so the bearish move may lack full momentum.
▲ A close back above the 9.16000 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The absence of a defined support level means the downside could be sharp but also prone to sudden reversals.
▲ Watch for any bullish divergence on lower timeframes that could signal a short-term bounce.