DOT/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.83 %

Entry

0.8720

Target

0.9960 +14.22 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.8404 −3.63 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,163 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,163 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.59 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, ADXR Trend Strong, STOCHF KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↑ +27.9 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 86 % (9.98) ▼ Bearish 14 % (1.64)

model score 85.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 43.5 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,561 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for DOT/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 5h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 5h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	2.07
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.83
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.34
▼	Below The Stomach	candlestick	1.12
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum and volatility indicators align for a potential bullish reversal on the 4H chart.
Price is deeply oversold, increasing the chance of a bounce toward resistance.
The broader trend remains bearish, so this is a counter-trend opportunity with limited upside.
Key levels: support at 0.86900, resistance at 0.99600.

The DOT/USDT 4H signal is a confluence of momentum and volatility indicators firing in unison, suggesting a potential bullish reversal from deeply oversold conditions. The ADXR Trend Strong indicates a robust trend, while the BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up confirm buying pressure and momentum shifting upward. The ER Level Cross Down and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit highlight that price has moved far from its mean, increasing the likelihood of a reversion. The RSX OS Entry and Keltner Lower Retreat further support the idea that the asset is oversold and bouncing off the lower band. The candlestick pattern 'Below The Stomach' adds a bullish reversal signal at the current level.

However, the broader trend across all timeframes is bearish, with solid downtrends on the 30m through 12h charts and trend forming on the 15m and 1d. This creates a conflict: the 4H signal is counter-trend, aiming for a bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.99600 is the first hurdle, while support at 0.86900 provides a floor. For the signal to play out, price must hold above support and break through resistance, but the bearish higher timeframes could limit upside. Traders should watch for a failure to hold support or a rejection at resistance, which would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, RSX) confirm oversold conditions and bullish momentum.
▲ ZSCORE extreme low exit and Keltner lower retreat suggest price is stretched below its mean.
▲ The 'Below The Stomach' candlestick pattern adds a reversal signal.
▲ Strong trend score (ADXR) indicates the move may have legs if reversal confirms.

Risk Factors

▼ All higher timeframes are bearish, so the bounce could be short-lived within a downtrend.
▼ Failure to break above resistance at 0.99600 could lead to a continuation lower.
▼ A break below support at 0.86900 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Momentum could fade if the 4H trend score weakens or price stalls at resistance.