ETH/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-09 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −3.41 %

Entry

2,135.24

Target

2,450.00 +14.74 %

closes in profit

Stop

1,853.62 −13.19 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.06 % per trade 816 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 816 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.12 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.71 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.78 % 18 % at stop avg −5.96 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), ER Level Cross Up, RSI OS Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +13% Position

▲ Bullish 92 % (14.70) ▼ Bearish 8 % (1.31)

model score 11.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 16.9 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 32.4 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 2,408 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day
17:00TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.14
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.49
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.36
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.21
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.97
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Oversold momentum indicators are turning up on the 12H chart, hinting at a potential bounce.
The signal is counter-trend; higher timeframes are still bearish, so treat it as a corrective rally unless resistance breaks.
Watch 2450.00 as the key resistance; a close above it would strengthen the bullish case.
A drop below 1853.62 support would invalidate the signal.

The ETH/USDT 12H signal is a confluence of oversold momentum exhaustion and early bullish reversal triggers. The simultaneous exit from RSI oversold territory, a ZSCORE extreme low exit, and a BOP zero cross up indicate selling pressure is fading and buying interest is returning. The HMA retreat up and KELTNER LOWER lower retreat suggest price is bouncing off the lower volatility band, while the STOCHF KD cross up adds a short-term momentum confirmation. The Fibonacci group signals reinforce that the move is occurring near a meaningful retracement level.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the signal fires on the 12H chart, the daily and 1H trends are still bearish, and the 2H to 8H timeframes show solid downtrends. This suggests the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 2450.00 is a critical hurdle; a break above it would signal a stronger reversal. The nearest support at 1853.62 is the invalidation zone—if price falls back below this level, the bullish signal loses validity.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (RSI, STOCH, BOP) are aligning for a bullish reversal.
▲ ZSCORE extreme low exit suggests price was stretched below its mean, increasing the likelihood of a mean-reversion bounce.
▲ HMA retreat up and KELTNER LOWER retreat indicate price is bouncing off the lower volatility band.
▲ Fibonacci confluence adds technical weight to the reversal zone.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (2H to 8H) are strongly bearish, which could cap any upside.
▼ The 1H and 1D trends are still bearish, indicating the bounce may be part of a larger downtrend.
▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 1853.62, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
▼ The 15m and 30M trends are choppy and weak, suggesting the immediate momentum may not be sustained.