EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.27 %

Entry

1.11919

Target

1.11309 +0.55 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12682 −0.68 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,754 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.9 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 805 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

09:00TodayEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 3h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	2.08
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.27
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.94
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H sell signal is backed by multiple bearish indicators, but lower timeframes are bullish, creating a conflict.
Higher timeframes (4H, daily) are bearish, supporting a potential shift to downside.
Watch key levels: resistance at 1.12682 and support at 1.11309; a break below support confirms the sell.
Signal strength is weak (57%), so expect limited follow-through unless price breaks below support.

The EUR/USD 1H signal is a SELL, driven by a cluster of bearish indicators including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 50/200 Death Cross, and KDJ OB Exit, among others. Despite the bearish signal, the shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are all bullish, with the 15m trend very strong. This creates a conflict: the signal suggests a short-term pullback within a larger bullish bias, but the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, with the daily showing a solid downtrend. The confluence of multiple bearish indicators on the 1H, combined with the bearish higher timeframe trend, suggests that the sell signal may be the start of a larger downward move, but the immediate bullish momentum on lower timeframes could delay or limit the downside.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12682 and support at 1.11309. A break below the nearest support would confirm the bearish signal and align with the higher timeframe downtrend. Conversely, if price pushes above resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the bullish lower timeframe trend could dominate. The signal's weak strength (57%) and the conflicting shorter timeframes argue for caution, but the alignment of the 4H and daily bearish trends provides a backdrop for potential downside.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators on the 1H (BOP, STOCHF, EMA, SMA, KDJ) provide confluence.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, with the daily showing a solid trend.
▼ The SMA 50/200 Death Cross and EMA 200 Retreat Down indicate a bearish structural alignment.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are bullish, which could counter the sell signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ Resistance at 1.12682 is nearby; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Signal strength is weak (57%), suggesting the move may lack momentum.
▲ The bullish trend on the 1H (trend forming) could stall the downside if price holds above support.