EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 10:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.12 %

Entry

1.11919

Target

1.11351 +0.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12348 −0.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.9 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 805 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

09:00TodayEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 3h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.87
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.38
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.37
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.30
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.25
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	0.92
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a strong short-term sell opportunity.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, creating a conflict with the bearish signal – watch for momentum shifts.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) are bearish, supporting the idea of a larger downtrend resuming.
Key levels: resistance at 1.12348 and support at 1.11351; a break below support confirms the bearish move.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, KDJ Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Down, alongside four additional signals. This confluence suggests a strong short-term bearish reversal from overbought conditions, with momentum and volatility indicators aligning to the downside. The signal is rated with 81% probability and strong strength, indicating a high-confidence setup for a sell.

However, the trend alignment is mixed across timeframes. The 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour charts are all bullish, with the 15-minute showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 30-minute solid (3/5). This creates a conflict: the bearish signal on the 30-minute is against the prevailing short-term uptrend. Meanwhile, higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, with the daily showing a solid downtrend (3/5). This suggests the bearish signal may be an early reversal within a larger downtrend, but the immediate bullish momentum could limit downside. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12348 and support at 1.11351; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH, BBANDS, SMA, KDJ, HMA) on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Higher timeframe trend (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
▼ The signal strength is strong (81% probability), indicating high confidence.
▼ The 30-minute price is retreating from the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting overbought conditions.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, which could counteract the bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 30-minute trend is still bullish (3/5), so the signal may be premature; watch for a break above resistance at 1.12348 to invalidate.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price fails to break below support at 1.11351, leading to a sideways consolidation.
▲ The 8H and 12H timeframes are choppy/sideways, adding uncertainty to the bearish outlook.