ICP/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +2.33 %

Entry

2.3650

Target

2.6700 +12.90 %

closes in profit

Stop

2.2720 −3.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,163 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,163 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.59 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % ↑ +20.1 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Swing

▲ Bullish 81 % (28.24) ▼ Bearish 19 % (6.51)

model score 81.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 43.5 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,561 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ICP/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 4h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 4h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 4h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.66
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Cluster of momentum and mean-reversion indicators points to a possible short-term bounce in a bearish trend.
All timeframes from 2H to 1D are bearish, so upside is likely capped near resistance at 2.67000.
Support at 2.27200 is the critical invalidation level; a break below signals the bounce is over.
Signal strength is weak (61%), so expect limited follow-through and consider taking profits quickly.

The ICP/USDT 4H signal combines a cluster of mean-reversion and momentum indicators, all pointing to a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish trend. The BOP Zero Cross Up and RSI OS Exit suggest buying pressure is returning after an oversold condition, while the STOCH KD Cross Up confirms early momentum reversal. The KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicates price has retreated from the lower band, often a precursor to a move back toward the middle band. However, the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down add a cautionary note, implying that the larger cycle may still be in a downtrend and that this bounce could be counter-trend.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 2H through 1D charts, while shorter timeframes (15m to 1h) are weaker and choppier. This alignment suggests that any upside is likely limited and may face resistance near the 2.67000 level, which aligns with the broader downtrend. The nearest support at 2.27200 is a key level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the bearish momentum. Given the weak strength of the signal and the bearish higher timeframes, traders should approach this as a tactical long with tight risk management, not a trend-following entry.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCH) align on a bullish reversal signal, increasing the odds of a bounce.
▲ Price retreating from the Keltner lower band suggests oversold conditions may be easing.
▲ The signal fires after a period of bearish momentum, often leading to a technical correction.
▲ Nearest resistance is not far above, but a move toward it would still offer a reasonable risk/reward if entered near support.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes argues against sustained upside; the bounce could be short-lived.
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down indicate the larger cycle remains bearish, potentially capping the rally.
▼ Weak signal strength (61%) and choppy shorter timeframes suggest low conviction; momentum could fade quickly.
▼ A break below the 2.27200 support would invalidate the signal and likely trigger further downside.