USD/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.55 %

Entry

0.81861

Target

0.83127 +1.55 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.81274 −0.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 665 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 665 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER MID Cross Up, MA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 16.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 628 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 4h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 4h
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	2.42
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.62
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.56
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.55
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.54
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.21

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 4H with 85% probability and multiple indicators aligning.
Price is bouncing off key moving averages and trendlines, indicating a retracement higher.
Higher timeframe trend is bearish, so this could be a counter-trend bounce.
Watch resistance at 0.83127 for breakout confirmation; support at 0.81274 is the invalidation zone.

The USD/CHF 4H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a very strong probability of 85% and a cluster of eight indicators aligning in favor of buying. The BOP Zero Cross Up signals improving buying pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up confirms bullish momentum. The multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, HT TRENDLINE, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all indicate that price has pulled back to key dynamic support levels and is bouncing, suggesting a continuation of the bullish move. The AO Saucer Bearish, while bearish, is likely a lagging indicator that may be losing relevance as price action turns up.

However, the higher timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, with the 8H showing a solid downtrend. This creates a conflict: the 4H signal suggests a counter-trend bounce, but the broader trend remains down. The nearest resistance at 0.83127 is a key level to watch; a break above it would confirm the bullish reversal, while failure to break could see price fall back to support at 0.81274. The bullish signals are strong, but traders should be cautious of the bearish higher timeframe trend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) show price bouncing off dynamic support.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up confirm bullish momentum shift.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability suggest strong conviction behind the move.
▲ The 15M timeframe is already turning bullish, providing early confirmation.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend is bearish, especially the solid 8H downtrend, which could overpower the 4H bounce.
▼ The AO Saucer Bearish indicates underlying bearish momentum, which may resume.
▼ If price fails to break resistance at 0.83127, the bullish signal could be invalidated.
▼ A drop below support at 0.81274 would invalidate the bullish thesis and signal a continuation of the downtrend.