USD/CHF – 8H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-08 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.40 %

Entry

0.81979

Target

0.83127 +1.40 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.80672 −1.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 360 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 360 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.66 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.41 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.44 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, CCI OB Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 14h
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 14h
15:00TomorrowUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.12
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.83
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.24
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.18

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Counter-trend BUY signal: momentum oscillators are exiting overbought and crossing down, but the broader trend is bearish.
Weak signal: only 59% probability and low strength, so expect limited upside and high risk.
Watch 0.83127 resistance: a break above could open room for a larger bounce; otherwise, expect the downtrend to resume.
Invalidation below 0.81916 support: a move below this level would negate the bullish setup.

The USD/CHF 8H signal fires a BUY despite a predominantly bearish trend across lower timeframes. The signal is driven by a cluster of momentum oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) exiting overbought conditions and crossing down, which typically indicates a short-term pullback within a downtrend. Simultaneously, several moving averages (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) are retreating upward, suggesting that the recent downside momentum may be losing steam and a corrective bounce could be underway. The trend scores across timeframes are weak, with most showing choppy/sideways conditions, and only the 8H timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5). This suggests that the BUY signal is counter-trend and likely represents a minor retracement rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.83127 and support at 0.81916. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a move below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the dominant downtrend. Given the weak probability (59%) and low strength, traders should approach this signal with caution, treating it as a scalp or short-term opportunity rather than a trend-following trade. The confluence of multiple oscillators and moving average retreats provides some technical justification, but the overall bearish alignment across timeframes argues for limited upside potential.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) are simultaneously exiting overbought conditions, suggesting a potential short-term reversal.
▲ Moving averages (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) are retreating upward, indicating that downside momentum is fading.
▲ The 8H timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5), providing a stronger context for a bounce within that timeframe.
▲ Support at 0.81916 is nearby, offering a defined risk level for a potential bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish, with most showing choppy/sideways conditions; the BUY signal is counter-trend and likely to be a minor retracement.
▼ The signal strength is weak and probability is only 59%, indicating low conviction and high chance of failure.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.81916 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate the downtrend.
▼ Resistance at 0.83127 is not far above, limiting upside potential and increasing the risk of a failed bounce.