USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 11:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.15 %

Entry

157.963

Target

158.543 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.255 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, CCI OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 7h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 7h
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.92
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.89
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.40

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish reversal signal has fired on the 30-minute chart, with multiple momentum indicators aligning.
The broader trend is bearish, so this is a counter-trend bounce that may face resistance.
Key resistance is at 158.54300; a break above it could extend the rally, while support at 157.69000 is the invalidation level.
Momentum is very strong, but traders should be cautious given the higher timeframe downtrend.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of momentum and volatility signals, all pointing to an imminent bullish reversal. The BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, and SMI Signal Cross Up together indicate that selling pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in from oversold conditions. This confluence suggests a short-term bounce is likely, with the nearest resistance at 158.54300 serving as the primary upside target.

However, the broader trend context is bearish across all timeframes, with the 15-minute and 30-minute charts showing solid or forming downtrends. The 1-hour and higher timeframes are choppy and sideways, lacking strong directional conviction. This means the bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, and its sustainability is uncertain. The nearest support at 157.69000 is the critical level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader bearish trend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of eight momentum and volatility signals all pointing to a bullish reversal.
▲ Oversold conditions exiting (CCI, WILLR, STOCHF) suggest buying pressure is building.
▲ Bollinger Bands lower band retreat indicates a potential bounce from oversold levels.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (90%) support the bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, which could overpower this counter-trend bounce.
▼ Higher timeframes are choppy and sideways, lacking a strong bullish catalyst.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.69000 would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Momentum signals can be early and may fade if the larger downtrend resumes.