AUD/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL With the trend 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.60 %

Entry

109.294

Target

108.634 +0.60 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.564 −2.08 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.03 % per trade 267 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 267 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.69 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.48 % 19 % at stop avg −0.75 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, TEMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP q/q●●●Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.4%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.31
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.96
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.09
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 12H chart align with a solid downtrend on 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes.
Nearest resistance at 111.56400 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
Nearest support at 108.63400 is the primary downside target; a break could open further downside.
Conflicting bullish 1H and choppy daily trend suggest the bearish move may be medium-term rather than long-term.

The AUD/JPY 12H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, and a SMA 20/50 Death Cross, alongside a TEMA Retreat Down and a Long Legged Doji. These signals align with a solid bearish trend across the 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, while the 2H is forming a downtrend. However, the 1H remains bullish and the daily is choppy, suggesting the bearish momentum is strongest on the medium-term horizon. The immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 111.56400, which should hold to keep the bearish bias intact, while the nearest support at 108.63400 is the primary downside target. A break below this support could accelerate the decline, but a failure to hold the resistance could signal a reversal. The confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) adds weight to the bearish outlook, but the conflicting higher timeframe (1D) and the presence of a Long Legged Doji (which can indicate indecision) warrant caution.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals across multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator).
▼ Solid bearish trend on 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes supports the medium-term direction.
▼ The 2H timeframe is forming a downtrend, adding to the bearish alignment.
▼ Strong trend score (3/5) on several timeframes indicates consistent momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H timeframe is still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the bearish bias.
▲ The daily timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting the larger trend is not firmly bearish.
▲ A Long Legged Doji indicates indecision and could signal a potential reversal if followed by bullish confirmation.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 111.56400, the bearish signal would be invalidated.