AUD/JPY – 1D – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-09 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.60 %

Entry

109.007

Target

106.891 +1.94 %

closes in profit

Stop

114.956 −5.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,035 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,035 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.19 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.20 % 12 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, KST Signal Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

MODERATE Position

▲ Bullish 21 % (2.92) ▼ Bearish 79 % (11.32)

model score 79.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP q/q●●●Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.4%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.99
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.50
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish confluence is firing on the daily chart, with momentum, volume, and trend indicators all aligned lower.
The bearish trend is most reliable on the 2H to 12H timeframes, while the daily itself is choppy—so expect possible pullbacks.
Watch the 114.956 resistance as the invalidation level; a break above it would cancel the sell signal.
The first major support to watch is 108.634; a break below that would confirm further downside.

The AUD/JPY daily chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by an APO Zero Cross Down and a BOP Zero Cross Down, indicating that both momentum and buying pressure are rolling over. This is reinforced by a T3 Retreat Down and a KST Signal Cross Down, which confirm that the medium-term trend is losing upside steam. The confluence of these indicators points to a shift toward lower prices, with the immediate bias firmly bearish.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is most pronounced from the 2H to the 12H charts, all showing solid trends (3/5), while the 1H and 2H are in the early stages of trend formation. The daily itself is choppy, but the higher-timeframe consistency lends weight to the sell signal. The nearest resistance at 114.956 is the key invalidation level—a daily close above it would negate the bearish setup. Meanwhile, the nearest support at 108.634 is the primary downside target, and a break below that would open the door for further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (APO, KST) are crossing down, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is dominating.
▼ Higher timeframes (2H-12H) show solid bearish trends, aligning with the daily signal.
▼ The T3 Retreat Down confirms that the short-term trend is pulling back within a larger downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily chart is choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ A daily close above 114.956 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a rally.
▲ The 15-minute chart is bullish, which may cause short-term bounces against the sell signal.
▲ The Stochastic KD Cross Up (on the daily) suggests oversold conditions might prompt a corrective bounce.