AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
7 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
109.030
Target
108.696 +0.31 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.474 −0.41 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 5 % (1.33) ▼ Bearish 95 % (25.40)
model score 95.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.55
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.48
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.45
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.36
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.33
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.27

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 30M with multiple confirming indicators (BOP, STOCH, moving averages).
  • Higher timeframes (1H to 12H) are all bearish, supporting the short-term sell setup.
  • Watch key levels: resistance at 109.47400 and support at 108.69600.
  • A break below support confirms bearish momentum; reclaiming resistance would invalidate.
The 30-minute AUD/JPY chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, MA, SMA 50). This confluence points to strong downward momentum on the 30M timeframe, with the CTI Overbought entry suggesting the pair is stretched to the downside after a recent move. The overall trend structure across higher timeframes (1H to 12H) is bearish, with solid trend scores of 3/5, reinforcing the short-term sell signal. The 15-minute timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, but this is a minor counter-trend and likely to be overridden by the stronger bearish alignment on the 30M and higher timeframes.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 109.47400 and support at 108.69600. A break below the support would confirm continued bearish momentum, while a push back above the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The 30M trend is currently choppy/sideways (1/5), which adds some uncertainty, but the weight of the higher-timeframe bearish trends and the sheer number of signals suggest the path of least resistance is lower. Traders should watch for a sustained move below the support to confirm the signal, and be cautious of any reversal signals if price reclaims the resistance.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of bearish indicators on 30M (BOP, STOCH, EMA/KAMA/MA/SMA retreats).
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across 1H to 12H timeframes with solid trend scores.
  • ▼ CTI Overbought entry suggests the pair is overbought on the 30M timeframe, adding to bearish pressure.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ 30M trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), which could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
  • ▲ 15M timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, a potential counter-trend that could slow the decline.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the 109.47400 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the 30M trend score remains weak, so watch for a loss of downside momentum.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 20:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 109.47400 2026-11-10
R2 111.13100 2026-11-05
R3 111.30300 2026-11-04
S1 108.69600 2026-11-09
S2 108.39700 2026-11-06
S3 108.23700 2026-11-06

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