AUD/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 06:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.25 %

Entry

109.294

Target

108.237 +0.97 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.303 −1.84 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 665 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 665 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TRIMA Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, KELTNER MID Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.15
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.11
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.09
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.70
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.56

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 4H chart align with a solid bearish trend on 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes.
Resistance at 111.30300 and support at 108.23700 are the key levels to watch.
Mixed signals on lower timeframes and the 1H bullish trend add uncertainty; confirmation requires a break below support.
The signal is moderate strength with a 67% probability, so risk management is essential.

The 4H AUD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and a BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, alongside a TRIMA Retreat Down. These indicators collectively point to downward momentum and a potential continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. The broader trend structure supports this: the 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are all in a solid bearish trend (3/5), while the 2H is forming a bearish trend. However, the 1H timeframe is still bullish, and the 15m, 30m, and 1d are choppy/sideways, which introduces some conflicting signals and suggests the selloff may be part of a larger consolidation.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 111.30300 and support at 108.23700. A break below support would reinforce the bearish signal, while a move back above resistance could invalidate it. The moderate strength and 67% probability suggest the signal is not extremely high-conviction, and the mixed higher timeframe signals warrant caution. Traders should watch for price action around these levels and any shifts in the higher timeframe trend to confirm the bearish move.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes (all bearish, solid trend).
▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, STOCH, BBANDS, TRIMA).
▼ 2H timeframe showing a forming bearish trend, supporting the overall direction.
▼ Bearish signals on 15m and 30m add short-term momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ 1H timeframe is still bullish, which could counteract the bearish move.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are choppy/sideways, indicating weak momentum.
▲ A move above resistance at 111.30300 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting the larger trend may not be strongly bearish.