AUD/USD – 1D – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +1.30 %
Entry
0.68661
Target
0.67432 +1.79 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.72374 −5.41 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,035 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 8,035 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.19 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.20 % 12 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KST Signal Cross Down, HT SINE Cross Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Position
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.74) ▼ Bearish 97 % (57.12)
model score 97.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
AUD/USD  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDFed Governor Jefferson Speech●●○in 7h
  • November 16, 2026USDNY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index●●○in 2 days
  • November 17, 2026USDImport Price Index m/m●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1d 97%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 2.09
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 2.01
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 1.98
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.97
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.82
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.78
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicator 1.63
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.40
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.34
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.21
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.09
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.86
▼ Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with ADX confirming a robust downtrend.
  • Momentum indicators (APO, BOP) and Bollinger Band breakdown reinforce selling pressure.
  • Oversold conditions on stochastic and Williams %R could trigger a temporary bounce.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.72374, support at 0.68649.
The AUD/USD daily chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by an ADX Trend Strong reading that confirms a robust downtrend. The APO and BOP zero-line crosses signal accelerating downside momentum and persistent selling pressure, while the DEMA retreat and the breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band indicate the bears remain in control. The inclusion of multiple stochastic and Williams %R signals points to an oversold condition, yet the dominant trend scores across all timeframes—from 15 minutes through the daily—are uniformly bearish, suggesting the selling pressure is broad-based rather than isolated to a single session.

With the nearest resistance at 0.72374 and support at 0.68649, the pair is currently trading nearer to support, which may act as a floor if the downtrend stalls. The confluence of trend strength, momentum, and volatility signals across timeframes supports a continuation of the bearish bias, but the oversold readings on stochastic and Williams %R raise the risk of a short-term bounce. Traders should watch for a break below the support level to confirm further downside, or a reclaim of resistance to invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend scores across all timeframes from 15m to 1D.
  • ▼ ADX Trend Strong indicates the downtrend is well-established and not just a short-term move.
  • ▼ Breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band suggests volatility expansion in favor of the bears.
  • ▼ Multiple momentum and volatility indicators (APO, BOP, DEMA) all point in the same direction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Oversold readings on stochastic and Williams %R could lead to a mean-reversion bounce.
  • ▲ Price is near the nearest support at 0.68649; a bounce from this level could stall the downtrend.
  • ▲ If the daily trend score is only 'trend forming' (2/5), the bearish momentum may be less mature on the higher timeframe.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.72374 would invalidate the bearish setup.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-09 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.72374 2026-09-09
S1 0.68649 2026-06-30

Tags

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