EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 08:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.28 %

Entry

1.62372

Target

1.61836 +0.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.63138 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, HMA Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,097 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

06:50TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 5h
07:10TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 5h
07:20TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.82
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.41

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The sell signal is a short-term counter-trend move within a broader bullish structure.
Momentum indicators (Stoch, ER, HMA) and an extreme Z-Score all align to suggest a pullback.
Watch the 1.61836 support level; a break below it could extend the correction.
The 1.62443 resistance is the key level to the upside; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish signal.

The SELL signal on EUR/AUD at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and mean-reversion indicators: a Stochastic (KD) cross down, an Elder Ray (ER) level cross down, a Hull Moving Average (HMA) retreat down, and an extreme Z-Score exit. Together, these suggest that the recent upward push has stalled and that short-term momentum is turning lower, likely prompting a pullback toward nearby support.

However, the broader trend context is firmly bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily chart. The 8-hour timeframe shows a solid uptrend, and the 30-minute trend is also bullish but choppy. This means the sell signal is counter-trend and likely represents a short-term correction within a larger bullish structure. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.62443, which capped the recent high, and support at 1.61836, which is the immediate downside target. A break below support would open the door to deeper correction, while a hold could see the pair resume its uptrend.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of four separate indicators firing simultaneously on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Z-Score extreme high exit indicates the price was stretched above its mean, supporting a reversion.
▼ The HMA retreat down confirms a loss of upward momentum at the short-term level.
▼ The 8-hour trend is solidly bullish, but the 30-minute choppiness allows for a corrective pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ The overall trend is bullish on all timeframes, so the sell signal is counter-trend and may be short-lived.
▲ The 30-minute trend is still bullish (choppy), so the downside could be limited to the nearest support.
▲ If the price fails to break below 1.61836, the pair could resume its uptrend, invalidating the sell signal.
▲ A break back above 1.62443 would negate the bearish setup and likely trigger a strong continuation higher.