EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 17:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.04 %

Entry

177.181

Target

178.482 +0.73 %

closes in profit

Stop

176.234 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,845 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 736 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.91
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.88
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.85
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.81
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.72
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.36
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.31
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.24
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.87
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	0.64

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 1H with 85% probability, driven by multiple momentum and trend indicators aligning.
Price is bouncing off oversold conditions and reclaiming key moving averages (EMA 200, SMA 200).
Watch resistance at 178.48200; a break could confirm the reversal, while support at 176.23400 is critical.
Higher timeframes are mixed, so treat this as a counter-trend move until 4H turns bullish.

The EUR/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with an 85% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators. The ADXR Trend Weak suggests the market is emerging from a low-volatility phase, while the BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up confirm increasing buying pressure and short-term momentum. The WILLR OS Exit and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicate that price has bounced off oversold conditions and the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential reversal. Furthermore, the EMA 200 Retreat Up and SMA 200 Retreat Up show that price is reclaiming key long-term moving averages, adding to the bullish case. The COPPOCK Zero Cross Down, despite its name, aligns with the bullish momentum as it signals a turn from a downtrend.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed but supportive of a bounce: while the 15m to 4h timeframes are bearish, the 8h and 12h are bullish, and the 1d is bearish but weak. This suggests that the immediate bearish pressure may be fading, and the 1H signal could be the start of a counter-trend rally. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 178.48200, which if broken could open the door for further upside, and the nearest support at 176.23400, which must hold to maintain the bullish structure.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of signals: BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, and Bollinger Bands all point to buying pressure.
▲ Price retreating up from the lower Bollinger Band and oversold Williams %R suggests a reversal.
▲ Reclaiming EMA 200 and SMA 200 adds medium-term bullish weight.
▲ Positive momentum in 8H and 12H timeframes supports a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend is mostly bearish (15m to 4H), so the rally could be a pullback within a larger downtrend.
▼ ADXR Trend Weak indicates low volatility; the signal may lack follow-through if volume and volatility do not pick up.
▼ If price fails to hold above support at 176.23400, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ The COPPOCK signal is a zero cross down, which could indicate a longer-term bearish shift if momentum fades.