EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
7 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
177.278
Target
176.234 +0.59 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.715 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 5 % (0.98) ▼ Bearish 95 % (19.30)
model score 95.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURCPI y/y●●●in 9h
  • TomorrowEURCPI m/m●●●in 9h
  • November 12, 2026EURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.78
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.75
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.75
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.68
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.98
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish momentum signals on the 1H chart points to a short-term reversal lower.
  • The 1H, 4H, and 1D timeframes are bearish, but the 2H, 8H, and 12H are still bullish, so this may be a pullback.
  • Key support at 176.234 is the level to watch; a break below confirms the bearish move.
  • Resistance at 177.715 is the invalidation level; a reclaim would signal the bearish setup has failed.
The EUR/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including APO and BOP zero-cross downs, DEMA/KAMA/MA retreat downs, and midpoint/midprice retreat downs, alongside a shift in HT trend mode toward cycle. This confluence suggests that the short-term uptrend has stalled and is reversing, with selling pressure building across multiple momentum and trend-following tools. The bearish alignment is supported by the 15m, 30m, 1h, 4h, and 1d timeframes all trending lower, though the 2h, 8h, and 12h timeframes remain bullish, indicating that the selloff is a counter-trend move against the higher-timeframe uptrend. This mixed picture implies the current bearish signal is likely a pullback within a larger bullish structure, but the strength and breadth of the 1H signals suggest the pullback has momentum.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 177.715 and support at 176.234. A break below support would confirm the bearish move and open the path toward lower targets, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The 1H trend is choppy/sideways (strength 1/5), which adds uncertainty, but the high probability (95%) and very strong signal strength indicate that the immediate bias is bearish. Traders should monitor the 2H and 8H bullish trends for potential conflict, as a failure to break below support could signal a resumption of the higher-timeframe uptrend.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (APO, BOP, DEMA, KAMA, MA, midpoint, midprice) all retreating down in unison.
  • ▼ HT trend mode shifting to cycle, indicating a change in market phase from trending to mean-reverting.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, 4h, and 1d timeframes, supporting the immediate downside.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength and 95% probability, reflecting high confluence among the fired signals.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, which could cap downside and lead to a bounce.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways with low strength (1/5), suggesting the bearish move may lack follow-through.
  • ▲ A break above resistance at 177.715 would invalidate the signal and likely signal a resumption of the uptrend.
  • ▲ The signal is a counter-trend move against the higher-timeframe uptrend, so it may be a pullback rather than a reversal.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 20:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.71500 2026-11-10
R2 178.48200 2026-11-04
S1 176.23400 2026-11-09
S2 176.15900 2026-11-06
S3 175.07300 2026-10-30

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