NZD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 02:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.61 %

Entry

0.56329

Target

0.55274 +1.87 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56581 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,109 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,109 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.43 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

21:30TodayNZDBusinessNZ Manufacturing Index●●○in 15m
13:30TomorrowUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 16h
13:30TomorrowUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.03
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.80
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.31
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.27
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	1.14
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish reversal signals on the 2H suggest a potential pullback from resistance.
Resistance at 0.56581 is the invalidation level; a break above would void the bearish case.
Support at 0.55274 is the main downside target, but the bullish 1H/4H trends may limit the fall.
Mixed trend across timeframes means the move could be choppy; use tight risk management.

The 2H chart for NZD/USD has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bearish Engulfing candlestick, BOP Zero Cross Down, and multiple overbought exits (CCI, STOCH) alongside SMA 200 and HMA retreats. This suggests a strong short-term rejection from higher prices, with the Keltner Upper retreat confirming that price has pulled back from the upper band. The confluence of these signals points to a potential downward move, but the broader trend is mixed: while the 1H and 4H timeframes are bullish, the 12H and 1D are bearish, creating a conflicting picture.

The immediate resistance at 0.56581 is the key level to watch; a break above it would negate the bearish setup. Support at 0.55274 is the primary downside target, but the bullish lower timeframes could provide a bounce before that level is reached. The moderate strength of the signals, combined with the choppy nature of the 15M and 8H trends, suggests that the move may be limited. Traders should look for confirmation on lower timeframes and manage risk accordingly.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH) indicate fading bullish momentum.
▼ Bearish Engulfing pattern adds candlestick confirmation to the bearish reversal.
▼ SMA 200 and HMA retreats show price pulling back from key moving averages.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down reflects selling pressure gaining strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends (1H, 4H) are bullish, which could counteract the bearish signal.
▲ The 15M trend is choppy and sideways, suggesting indecision and potential for a false breakout.
▲ If price breaks above 0.56581, the bearish setup is invalidated and a rally could ensue.
▲ The moderate strength of the signals implies the move may lack conviction.