AVAX/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 22:00 UTC 27 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.64 %

Entry

8.4970

Target

8.0680 +5.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.0140 −6.08 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 7,557 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,557 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.63 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.47 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.49 % 22 % at stop avg −2.04 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: AROON Cross Down, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down +22 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Intraday

▲ Bullish 8 % (3.88) ▼ Bearish 92 % (47.44)

model score 92.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.8 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 26.7 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 3,328 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 14h
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 15h
17:00TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 17h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 23:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	2.28
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.28
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	2.11
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.06
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.96
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.93
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.93
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.89
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.50
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.36
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.20
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.89
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum has flipped bearish on the 1H with a strong cluster of indicator crosses.
Immediate support at 8.06800 is the key downside target; resistance at 9.01400 is the invalidation zone.
Higher timeframes are still bullish, so this could be a pullback within an uptrend.
Watch for a close below support to confirm the bearish move.

The 1H SELL signal for AVA/XUSDT is backed by a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators flipping bearish simultaneously, including Aroon, BOP, CCI, CMO, and MACD crosses. This suggests a sharp loss of buying pressure and a potential shift in short-term momentum. However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still showing bullish or choppy trends, indicating that this sell signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger bullish structure. The 15m and 30m are bearish but weak, confirming the immediate downside bias.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 9.01400 and support at 8.06800. A break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a bounce could see the pair retest resistance. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 1H provides a strong short-term signal, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trend. The signal strength is very strong, but the trend scores on higher timeframes are low, suggesting the move may lack persistence.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (Aroon, BOP, CCI, CMO, MACD) all crossing down simultaneously on the 1H.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, aligning with the 1H signal.
▼ The signal probability is very high (92%) with very strong strength.
▼ The nearest resistance at 9.01400 is likely to cap any upside attempts.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are still bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 1D trend is bearish but choppy, adding uncertainty.
▲ If the price holds above support and reclaims resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The trend scores on higher timeframes are low, suggesting weak trend conviction.