EUR/GBP – 4H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.08 %
Entry
0.83632
Target
0.83192 +0.53 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83807 −0.21 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 681 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 681 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
24 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 16 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, DX Trend Weak, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 736 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/GBP  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/GBP

Full calendar
  • November 16, 2026EURBbk Executive Board Member Mauderer Speech●●○in 2 days
  • November 16, 2026EURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous -0.5%in 2 days
  • November 17, 2026GBPEmployment Change 3-months●●○Forecast 82KPrevious 147Kin 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 4h 26%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.71
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.51
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.29
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.19

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 4H with eight indicators aligned to the downside.
  • Higher timeframe (1D) shows a very strong bearish trend, supporting the sell bias.
  • Watch key support at 0.83192; a break below could accelerate downside.
  • Resistance at 0.83807 is the immediate hurdle; a reclaim would weaken the bearish case.
The EUR/GBP 4H signal stack is overwhelmingly bearish, with eight indicators aligning to the downside. The DX Trend Weak suggests a loss of upside momentum, while the STOCH KD Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate a short-term pullback within a broader bearish structure. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down and KDJ Cross Down further confirm the bearish momentum, and the SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire signals an impending volatility expansion, likely to the downside. The HMA Retreat Down and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit reinforce the idea that price is overextended and due for a correction.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes. The 1D chart shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), which is the dominant force, while the 12H is also bearish but forming. Intermediate timeframes (30m to 8H) are bullish but only at 2/5 strength, suggesting weak counter-trend bounces. The 15M is choppy and sideways, indicating no immediate support. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 0.83807 and nearest support at 0.83192. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (STOCH, KDJ, HMA) all confirming bearish direction.
  • ▼ SQUEEZE Fire suggests a volatility expansion, often favoring the prevailing trend (down).
  • ▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates price is overextended and likely to revert.
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend on the daily timeframe (4/5) provides a solid backdrop.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Intermediate timeframes (30m to 8H) are bullish, which could cause a bounce before the move down.
  • ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.83807, the bearish signal is invalidated.
  • ▲ The 15M is choppy, suggesting a lack of clear direction in the very short term.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the squeeze resolves to the upside instead.
Symbol EUR/GBP
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 26%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-10 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83807 2026-10-28
R2 0.84020 2026-10-26
R3 0.84777 2026-10-15
S1 0.83192 2026-11-06

Tags

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